Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Mansfield
24.3%
Draw
45.9%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Mansfield
vs
1.43
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).