Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Benfica
19.6%
Draw
11.2%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Benfica
vs
0.76
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).