Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Millwall
29.3%
Draw
19.4%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Millwall
vs
0.76
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).