Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Cadiz
25.5%
Draw
36.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Cadiz
vs
1.34
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).