Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.9%
Queens Park Rangers
19.6%
Draw
74.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.94
Burnley
Markets
BTTS28.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.3%
0-1
18.3%
0-3
11.9%
0-0
10.2%
1-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
1-0
3.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).