Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Maidstone
25.5%
Draw
42.0%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Maidstone
vs
1.66
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).