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HHT: 11CSV

22 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Barnet

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
York
26.3%
Draw
31.7%
Barnet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

York

vs
1.36

Barnet

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).