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DHT: 01CSV

26 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.1%
Como
23.4%
Draw
12.5%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Como

vs
0.71

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).