Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Benevento
23.0%
Draw
52.3%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Benevento
vs
1.77
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).