Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
Boreham Wood
14.5%
Draw
8.9%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Boreham Wood
vs
0.95
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.553.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.4%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.6%
5-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).