Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Tottenham
21.5%
Draw
16.0%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Tottenham
vs
1.11
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).