⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
76.3%
Portsmouth
14.8%
Draw
8.9%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Portsmouth

vs
0.63

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).