Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Fulham
29.2%
Draw
34.8%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Fulham
vs
1.34
Brighton
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).