Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Aldershot
23.9%
Draw
50.9%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Aldershot
vs
1.92
Southend
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).