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HHT: 11CSV

20 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.1%
Hamburg
27.0%
Draw
26.9%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Hamburg

vs
1.13

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).