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DHT: 10

26 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.3%
Portsmouth
28.9%
Draw
31.8%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Portsmouth

vs
1.16

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).