Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Salernitana
26.6%
Draw
42.4%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Salernitana
vs
1.35
Venezia
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).