Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Sassuolo
24.9%
Draw
28.3%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sassuolo
vs
1.14
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).