Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Celtic
25.2%
Draw
22.1%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Celtic
vs
1.05
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).