Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Parma
24.9%
Draw
19.8%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Parma
vs
1.02
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).