Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Wigan
24.1%
Draw
14.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Wigan
vs
0.59
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).