Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Werder Bremen
27.5%
Draw
34.8%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Werder Bremen
vs
1.32
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).