Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Almeria
16.8%
Draw
13.9%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Almeria
vs
1.04
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).