Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
Kasımpaşa
18.5%
Draw
75.5%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Kasımpaşa
vs
2.48
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-3
11.0%
0-1
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
0-5
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).