Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Port Vale
27.1%
Draw
30.7%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Port Vale
vs
1.03
Bradford
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).