Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Walsall
24.6%
Draw
37.2%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Walsall
vs
1.36
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).