Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
M'gladbach
25.9%
Draw
27.2%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
M'gladbach
vs
1.20
Hertha
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).