⚽ FootballData
5 – 0
HHT: 30CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.4%
Blackpool
26.3%
Draw
36.3%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Blackpool

vs
1.13

Bradford

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).