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HHT: 11CSV

02 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.2%
Ebbsfleet
17.8%
Draw
75.0%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

Ebbsfleet

vs
2.24

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.2%
0-1
13.0%
0-3
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).