Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Bristol City
27.6%
Draw
30.7%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bristol City
vs
1.23
QPR
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).