Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Lyon
22.0%
Draw
21.2%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Lyon
vs
1.04
Brest
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).