Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Chesterfield
25.5%
Draw
25.5%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Chesterfield
vs
0.97
Oldham
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).