Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Gillingham
26.8%
Draw
34.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Gillingham
vs
1.14
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).