Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Hoffenheim
24.5%
Draw
38.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Hoffenheim
vs
1.68
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS66.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).