Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
FC Koln
19.1%
Draw
22.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
FC Koln
vs
1.65
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS75.3%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.579.7%
Over 3.561.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-2
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-2
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).