Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Mansfield
28.8%
Draw
27.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Mansfield
vs
0.81
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).