Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Gil Vicente
20.3%
Draw
22.9%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Gil Vicente
vs
1.24
Estoril
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).