Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Parma
19.7%
Draw
7.9%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Parma
vs
0.57
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
5-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).