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06 Feb 2026 · 20:01

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.3%
Charlton
31.0%
Draw
29.7%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Charlton

vs
1.02

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).