Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.2%
Arsenal
7.3%
Draw
1.5%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
Arsenal
vs
0.39
Southampton
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
4-0
12.6%
5-0
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
1-1
3.4%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.7%
3-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).