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01 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.1%
Kelty Hearts
13.6%
Draw
78.3%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Kelty Hearts

vs
2.95

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.2%
0-3
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-5
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).