Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Amiens
22.6%
Draw
33.8%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Amiens
vs
1.36
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).