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06 Mar 2026 · 11:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.6%
Oleksandria
15.7%
Draw
77.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.54

Oleksandria

vs
2.33

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.5%
0-1
13.0%
0-3
12.0%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.3%
0-4
7.0%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).