Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Aberdeen
30.7%
Draw
37.7%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Aberdeen
vs
1.14
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).