Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Shrewsbury
28.4%
Draw
38.9%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Shrewsbury
vs
1.06
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).