Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Ferrol
27.2%
Draw
59.7%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Ferrol
vs
1.40
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS29.1%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.2%
0-0
15.0%
0-2
14.8%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
0-4
2.4%
2-0
1.8%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).