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AHT: 01

27 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Genk
28.5%
Draw
30.6%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Genk

vs
1.09

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).