Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Tipton Town
20.5%
Draw
49.3%
Faversham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Tipton Town
vs
2.09
Faversham Town
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-1
5.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-3
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).