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DHT: 00CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:15

Como

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Sampdoria
30.4%
Draw
44.0%
Como

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Sampdoria

vs
1.33

Como

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).