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09 Apr 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Wolfsburg
27.6%
Draw
25.1%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Wolfsburg

vs
1.03

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).